Late-Cycle Behavior

Virgin Galactic founder Richard Branson.

Investors’ new mantra: Apple AAPL, +1.71%  and Amazon AMZN, +1.25% are for boomers — we buy Tesla TSLA, +7.29% and Virgin Galactic SPCE, +11.58%. Apple and Amazon are pedestrian stocks of yesterday; they do nothing interesting. Vacationing in space on a Virgin Galactic flight is around the corner. Soon we will be mining on Mars. When we return from Mars to the lowly planet Earth to visit our aging parents, we will be getting around in flying autonomous electric taxis from Tesla and staying in homes powered by Tesla solar roofs and batteries.

Public service announcement: If you’re an investing novice, you are setting yourself up for a painful lesson

Both Virgin Galactic and Tesla provide short-term trading opportunities for sophisticated investors both from the long side and the short side. Our system gave a signal to short-sell Virgin Galactic for a very short-term trade near the highs.

However, there was no point in publishing that signal because the shares were not readily available to short. The plan is to trade only those setups where there is reasonable risk control. It is also important to pay attention to Arora’s 14th Law: “To be successful at investing and trading, become a master of position sizing.”

Nigam Arora  Nigam@TheAroraReport.com

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *